{"id":361,"date":"2017-06-19T09:37:10","date_gmt":"2017-06-19T09:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/valshebnik.com\/blog\/?p=361"},"modified":"2017-06-19T09:37:10","modified_gmt":"2017-06-19T09:37:10","slug":"the-ladder-of-inference","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/valshebnik.com\/blog\/the-ladder-of-inference\/","title":{"rendered":"The Ladder of Inference"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of my favourite tools for promoting productive conversations in teams is the Ladder of Inference.<\/p>\n<p>I first came across it more than twenty years ago when we were trying to change our ways of working in a huge global reorganisation and transformation.<\/p>\n<p>The phrase was coined and the concept developed by the great Chris Argyris. It explains why we are all capable of \u2018jumping to conclusions\u2019, rightly or wrongly, and gives us a neutral technique to explain our own thinking or, more likely, to get others to explain their thinking to us.<\/p>\n<p>The Ladder of Inference describes how you move from some observable data (something someone says or does for example) through to making a conclusion and maybe even taking action based on that conclusion.<\/p>\n<p>An example. I am giving a presentation. But one of my peers hasn\u2019t said a word and she normally does. She must be bored with what I\u2019m saying. She thinks it\u2019s not important. And she probably thinks I am incompetent.<\/p>\n<p>But do I know this for sure?<\/p>\n<p>We all jump up the Ladder. We select the observations we will treat as important and ignore the rest. We add meaning and draw our conclusions. Our thinking is effortless, fast and works routinely. Our conclusions appear obvious and we rarely think about the steps we&#8217;ve taken to get there. And our beliefs, experience, assumptions and values influence what data we select, the meanings we add, and what conclusions we draw.<\/p>\n<p>It is not always bad and the skill is essential to everyday life. For example if you are crossing the road and a car suddenly comes directly towards you at speed, you want to get immediately to the top of your Ladder, conclude you might be in danger and take action to get out of the way!<\/p>\n<p>However it can get us into trouble. We jump up the Ladder without stopping to reflect. People with the same data can often reach different conclusions. But they see their conclusions as obvious and do not see the need to explain the steps that got them there.<\/p>\n<p>And when people have the same data but draw different conclusions they can argue (and perhaps shout) from the tops of their respective Ladders. Which I have always found a wonderful picture.<\/p>\n<p>All of our thinking is therefore vulnerable to error. And if we don&#8217;t test our thinking openly, the errors remain. Which can have an important impact on the quality of the thinking, discussion and the decisions made as a team or organization.<\/p>\n<p>The seven steps on the ladder from top down (although obviously you start climbing from the bottom of the ladder not at the top!) are:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>I take <u>actions<\/u> based on my beliefs<\/li>\n<li>I adopt <u>beliefs<\/u> about the world<\/li>\n<li>I draw <u>conclusions<\/u><\/li>\n<li>I make <u>assumptions<\/u> based on the meanings I added<\/li>\n<li>I add <u>meanings<\/u> (cultural and personal)<\/li>\n<li>I <u>select data<\/u> from what I observe<\/li>\n<li><u>Observable data<\/u> and experiences (as if recorded in a video)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>And all of the steps of the Ladder take place in my head, invisibly. Other people only see the observable data and my own decision to take action. The rest is unseen and untested.<\/p>\n<p>But sharing the other rungs, using the Ladder of Inference, can improve communication and productive conversations in three main ways:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Reflection: becoming more aware of your own thinking and reasoning<\/li>\n<li>Advocacy: making your thinking and reasoning more visible to others<\/li>\n<li>Inquiry: inquiring into other\u2019s thinking and reasoning<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If you want to read some more on the Ladder of Inference and other techniques for dealing with mental models then you could do worse than look at Peter Senge\u2019s wonderful work \u2018<em>The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook<\/em>\u201d, which is where the seven steps of the Ladder and the three bullets above come from.<\/p>\n<p>Another example from Senge\u2019s book. The meeting was called for 2pm and John came in at 2.30 and didn\u2019t say why. John knew exactly when the meeting was to start so he deliberately came in late. John always comes in late. We can\u2019t count on John. He\u2019s unreliable.<\/p>\n<p>Back to my first example of my presentation. What could I do instead of concluding she thinks I\u2019m incompetent? I could ask for data. \u201cWhat is your reaction to the presentation?\u2019 Or I could test my assumption. \u2018Are you bored?\u2019 Or I can just check the observable data. \u2018You\u2019ve been quiet\u2019. To which the answer could just as easily be \u2018Yes I am taking notes, I just love your stuff\u2019. Maybe she doesn\u2019t think I\u2019m incompetent after all.<\/p>\n<p>For those of us who are \u2018quick in thinking\u2019 it can be a somewhat frustrating technique. I had a very smart boss many years ago who indeed was capable of jumping to the top of his Ladder of Inference extremely quickly and actually, almost always, \u2018correctly\u2019. Luckily I could follow his thinking for the most part. A number of our fellow leadership team members however, although clever people in their own right, had trouble understanding his conclusions. So as HR VP, I would coach him to talk his way down his Ladder of Inference. For him (and often for me) it was self-evident and hence he was not that happy doing it. It could be painful process. But occasionally slowing down and explaining his thinking helped us to have the mutual understanding and productive conversations we needed to have. And to make the right decisions together.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve used this a lot with my teams and it\u2019s been really useful to build mutual understanding and improve our decision making. Although I have to admit that sometimes I\u2019ve used it rather than ask the real question in my head: How could you possibly have got to that stupid conclusion?!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of my favourite tools for promoting productive conversations in teams is the Ladder of Inference. I first came across it more than twenty years ago when we were trying to change our ways of working in a huge global reorganisation and transformation. The phrase was coined and the concept developed by the great Chris [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,4,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chairing-and-facilitating","category-coaching","category-remote-teams-and-global-working"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Ladder of Inference &#8211; People Matters, People Matter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/valshebnik.com\/blog\/the-ladder-of-inference\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Ladder of Inference &#8211; People Matters, People Matter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"One of my favourite tools for promoting productive conversations in teams is the Ladder of Inference. 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